Northern Ustreasury Index Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 18.69
| BTIAX Fund | USD 19.22 0.06 0.31% |
Northern |
Northern Ustreasury Target Price Odds to finish below 18.69
The tendency of Northern Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 18.69 or more in 90 days |
| 19.22 | 90 days | 18.69 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Northern Ustreasury to drop to $ 18.69 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Northern Ustreasury Index probability density function shows the probability of Northern Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Northern Ustreasury Index price to stay between $ 18.69 and its current price of $19.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.11 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Northern Ustreasury has a beta of 0.0323 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Northern Ustreasury average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Northern Ustreasury Index will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Northern Ustreasury Index has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Northern Ustreasury Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Northern Ustreasury
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northern Ustreasury Index. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Northern Ustreasury Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Northern Ustreasury is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Northern Ustreasury's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Northern Ustreasury Index, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Northern Ustreasury within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.55 |
Northern Ustreasury Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Northern Ustreasury for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Northern Ustreasury Index can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Northern Ustreasury generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Northern Ustreasury Index generated five year return of -1.0% | |
| This fund holds about 100.0% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Northern Ustreasury Technical Analysis
Northern Ustreasury's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Northern Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Northern Ustreasury Index. In general, you should focus on analyzing Northern Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Northern Ustreasury Predictive Forecast Models
Northern Ustreasury's time-series forecasting models is one of many Northern Ustreasury's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Northern Ustreasury's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Northern Ustreasury Index
Checking the ongoing alerts about Northern Ustreasury for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Northern Ustreasury Index help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Northern Ustreasury generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Northern Ustreasury Index generated five year return of -1.0% | |
| This fund holds about 100.0% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Other Information on Investing in Northern Mutual Fund
Northern Ustreasury financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northern Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northern with respect to the benefits of owning Northern Ustreasury security.
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