Black Tusk Resources Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0077

BTKRFDelisted Stock  USD 0.07  0.00  0.00%   
Black Tusk's future price is the expected price of Black Tusk instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Black Tusk Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
  
Please specify Black Tusk's target price for which you would like Black Tusk odds to be computed.

Black Tusk Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0077

The tendency of Black Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.01  or more in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 0.01 
about 25.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Black Tusk to drop to $ 0.01  or more in 90 days from now is about 25.56 (This Black Tusk Resources probability density function shows the probability of Black Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Black Tusk Resources price to stay between $ 0.01  and its current price of $0.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.18 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 95.0 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Black Tusk will likely underperform. In addition to that Black Tusk Resources has an alpha of 138.5959, implying that it can generate a 138.6 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Black Tusk Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Black Tusk

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Black Tusk Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0753.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0653.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.07317.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.020.040.1
Details

Black Tusk Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Black Tusk is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Black Tusk's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Black Tusk Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Black Tusk within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
138.60
β
Beta against Dow Jones95.00
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.41

Black Tusk Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Black Tusk for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Black Tusk Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Black Tusk Resources is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Black Tusk Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Black Tusk Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Black Tusk Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Black Tusk Resources has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Black is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
Net Loss for the year was (2.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Black Tusk Resources has accumulated about 435.33 K in cash with (2.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Black Tusk Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Black Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Black Tusk's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Black Tusk's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding181.6 M

Black Tusk Technical Analysis

Black Tusk's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Black Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Black Tusk Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Black Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Black Tusk Predictive Forecast Models

Black Tusk's time-series forecasting models is one of many Black Tusk's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Black Tusk's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Black Tusk Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Black Tusk for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Black Tusk Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Black Tusk Resources is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Black Tusk Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Black Tusk Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Black Tusk Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Black Tusk Resources has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Black is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
Net Loss for the year was (2.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Black Tusk Resources has accumulated about 435.33 K in cash with (2.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

Other Consideration for investing in Black Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Black Tusk Resources check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Black Tusk's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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