Armlogi Holding Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.25
| BTOC Stock | 6.08 0.05 0.83% |
Armlogi |
Armlogi Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 4.25
The tendency of Armlogi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 4.25 in 90 days |
| 6.08 | 90 days | 4.25 | about 81.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Armlogi Holding to stay above 4.25 in 90 days from now is about 81.02 (This Armlogi Holding Corp probability density function shows the probability of Armlogi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Armlogi Holding Corp price to stay between 4.25 and its current price of 6.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.73 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.22 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Armlogi Holding will likely underperform. Additionally Armlogi Holding Corp has an alpha of 0.5343, implying that it can generate a 0.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Armlogi Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Armlogi Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Armlogi Holding Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Armlogi Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Armlogi Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Armlogi Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Armlogi Holding Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Armlogi Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Armlogi Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Armlogi Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Armlogi Holding Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Armlogi Holding Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Armlogi Holding Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Armlogi Holding Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Armlogi Holding Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: ARMLOGI HOLDING CORP. ANNOUNCES UP TO 21 MILLION CONVERTIBLE PROMISSORY NOTES AND 50 MILLION STANDBY EQUITY PURCHASE AGREEMENT |
Armlogi Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Armlogi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Armlogi Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Armlogi Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 40.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.9 M |
Armlogi Holding Technical Analysis
Armlogi Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Armlogi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Armlogi Holding Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Armlogi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Armlogi Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Armlogi Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Armlogi Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Armlogi Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Armlogi Holding Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Armlogi Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Armlogi Holding Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Armlogi Holding Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Armlogi Holding Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Armlogi Holding Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Armlogi Holding Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: ARMLOGI HOLDING CORP. ANNOUNCES UP TO 21 MILLION CONVERTIBLE PROMISSORY NOTES AND 50 MILLION STANDBY EQUITY PURCHASE AGREEMENT |
Check out Armlogi Holding Backtesting, Armlogi Holding Valuation, Armlogi Holding Correlation, Armlogi Holding Hype Analysis, Armlogi Holding Volatility, Armlogi Holding History as well as Armlogi Holding Performance. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Cargo Ground Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Armlogi Holding. If investors know Armlogi will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Armlogi Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.69) | Earnings Share 0.29 | Revenue Per Share 4.244 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.276 | Return On Assets 0.0716 |
The market value of Armlogi Holding Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Armlogi that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Armlogi Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Armlogi Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Armlogi Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Armlogi Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Armlogi Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Armlogi Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Armlogi Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.