Bluerush Media Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.02
| BTV Stock | CAD 0.01 0.01 50.00% |
BLUERUSH |
BLUERUSH Media Target Price Odds to finish below 0.02
The tendency of BLUERUSH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under C$ 0.02 after 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.02 | about 76.63 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BLUERUSH Media to stay under C$ 0.02 after 90 days from now is about 76.63 (This BLUERUSH Media Group probability density function shows the probability of BLUERUSH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BLUERUSH Media Group price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.01 and C$ 0.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.9 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon BLUERUSH Media has a beta of 0.47 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BLUERUSH Media average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BLUERUSH Media Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover BLUERUSH Media Group has an alpha of 1.445, implying that it can generate a 1.44 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BLUERUSH Media Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BLUERUSH Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BLUERUSH Media Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BLUERUSH Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BLUERUSH Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BLUERUSH Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BLUERUSH Media Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BLUERUSH Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.44 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
BLUERUSH Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BLUERUSH Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BLUERUSH Media Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BLUERUSH Media Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| BLUERUSH Media Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| BLUERUSH Media Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| BLUERUSH Media Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| BLUERUSH Media Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| BLUERUSH Media Group has accumulated 813.65 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 625.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. BLUERUSH Media Group has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist BLUERUSH Media until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, BLUERUSH Media's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like BLUERUSH Media Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for BLUERUSH to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about BLUERUSH Media's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 4.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.53 M. | |
| BLUERUSH Media Group has accumulated about 1.22 M in cash with (4.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 18.0% of BLUERUSH Media shares are held by company insiders |
BLUERUSH Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BLUERUSH Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BLUERUSH Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BLUERUSH Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.1 M |
BLUERUSH Media Technical Analysis
BLUERUSH Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BLUERUSH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BLUERUSH Media Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing BLUERUSH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BLUERUSH Media Predictive Forecast Models
BLUERUSH Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many BLUERUSH Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BLUERUSH Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BLUERUSH Media Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about BLUERUSH Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BLUERUSH Media Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BLUERUSH Media Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| BLUERUSH Media Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| BLUERUSH Media Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| BLUERUSH Media Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| BLUERUSH Media Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| BLUERUSH Media Group has accumulated 813.65 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 625.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. BLUERUSH Media Group has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist BLUERUSH Media until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, BLUERUSH Media's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like BLUERUSH Media Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for BLUERUSH to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about BLUERUSH Media's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 4.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.53 M. | |
| BLUERUSH Media Group has accumulated about 1.22 M in cash with (4.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 18.0% of BLUERUSH Media shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for BLUERUSH Stock Analysis
When running BLUERUSH Media's price analysis, check to measure BLUERUSH Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BLUERUSH Media is operating at the current time. Most of BLUERUSH Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BLUERUSH Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BLUERUSH Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BLUERUSH Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.