Buffalo International Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 21.64

BUFIX Fund  USD 21.59  0.17  0.78%   
Buffalo International's future price is the expected price of Buffalo International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Buffalo International Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Buffalo International Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Buffalo International Correlation, Buffalo International Hype Analysis, Buffalo International Volatility, Buffalo International History as well as Buffalo International Performance.
  
Please specify Buffalo International's target price for which you would like Buffalo International odds to be computed.

Buffalo International Target Price Odds to finish below 21.64

The tendency of Buffalo Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 21.64  after 90 days
 21.59 90 days 21.64 
about 16.85
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Buffalo International to stay under $ 21.64  after 90 days from now is about 16.85 (This Buffalo International Fund probability density function shows the probability of Buffalo Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Buffalo International price to stay between its current price of $ 21.59  and $ 21.64  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.03 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Buffalo International has a beta of 0.0893 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Buffalo International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Buffalo International Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Buffalo International Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Buffalo International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Buffalo International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Buffalo International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.0021.7622.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.1221.8822.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.5022.2723.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.9422.1723.39
Details

Buffalo International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Buffalo International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Buffalo International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Buffalo International Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Buffalo International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Buffalo International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Buffalo International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Buffalo International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Buffalo International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Buffalo International holds about 8.06% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Buffalo International Technical Analysis

Buffalo International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Buffalo Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Buffalo International Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Buffalo Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Buffalo International Predictive Forecast Models

Buffalo International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Buffalo International's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Buffalo International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Buffalo International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Buffalo International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Buffalo International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Buffalo International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Buffalo International holds about 8.06% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Buffalo Mutual Fund

Buffalo International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Buffalo Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Buffalo with respect to the benefits of owning Buffalo International security.
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