Buffalo Emerging Opportunities Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 15.73

BUFOX Fund  USD 16.92  0.33  1.91%   
Buffalo Emerging's future price is the expected price of Buffalo Emerging instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Buffalo Emerging Opportunities performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Buffalo Emerging Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Buffalo Emerging Correlation, Buffalo Emerging Hype Analysis, Buffalo Emerging Volatility, Buffalo Emerging History as well as Buffalo Emerging Performance.
  
Please specify Buffalo Emerging's target price for which you would like Buffalo Emerging odds to be computed.

Buffalo Emerging Target Price Odds to finish below 15.73

The tendency of Buffalo Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 15.73  or more in 90 days
 16.92 90 days 15.73 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Buffalo Emerging to drop to $ 15.73  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Buffalo Emerging Opportunities probability density function shows the probability of Buffalo Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Buffalo Emerging Opp price to stay between $ 15.73  and its current price of $16.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.88 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Buffalo Emerging has a beta of 0.0282 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Buffalo Emerging average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Buffalo Emerging Opportunities will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Buffalo Emerging Opportunities has an alpha of 0.0586, implying that it can generate a 0.0586 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Buffalo Emerging Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Buffalo Emerging

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Buffalo Emerging Opp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.2318.9020.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.9117.1418.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.2516.4817.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.7217.0317.34
Details

Buffalo Emerging Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Buffalo Emerging is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Buffalo Emerging's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Buffalo Emerging Opportunities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Buffalo Emerging within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Buffalo Emerging Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Buffalo Emerging for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Buffalo Emerging Opp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: BTIG Downgrades Plug Power - MSN
The fund generated three year return of -9.0%
Buffalo Emerging Opp holds about 6.46% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Buffalo Emerging Technical Analysis

Buffalo Emerging's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Buffalo Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Buffalo Emerging Opportunities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Buffalo Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Buffalo Emerging Predictive Forecast Models

Buffalo Emerging's time-series forecasting models is one of many Buffalo Emerging's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Buffalo Emerging's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Buffalo Emerging Opp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Buffalo Emerging for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Buffalo Emerging Opp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: BTIG Downgrades Plug Power - MSN
The fund generated three year return of -9.0%
Buffalo Emerging Opp holds about 6.46% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Buffalo Mutual Fund

Buffalo Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Buffalo Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Buffalo with respect to the benefits of owning Buffalo Emerging security.
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like