Buff Technologies (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 811.8
| BUFT Stock | 1,800 2.00 0.11% |
Buff |
Buff Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 811.8
The tendency of Buff Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 811.80 or more in 90 days |
| 1,800 | 90 days | 811.80 | about 15.36 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Buff Technologies to drop to 811.80 or more in 90 days from now is about 15.36 (This Buff Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Buff Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Buff Technologies price to stay between 811.80 and its current price of 1800.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Buff Technologies has a beta of -0.46 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Buff Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Buff Technologies is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Buff Technologies has an alpha of 1.7471, implying that it can generate a 1.75 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Buff Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Buff Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Buff Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Buff Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Buff Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Buff Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Buff Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Buff Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.75 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 334.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Buff Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Buff Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Buff Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Buff Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Buff Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 84.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Buff Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Buff Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Buff Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Buff Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 85.1 K |
Buff Technologies Technical Analysis
Buff Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Buff Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Buff Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Buff Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Buff Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Buff Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Buff Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Buff Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Buff Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Buff Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Buff Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Buff Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Buff Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 84.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Buff Stock
Buff Technologies financial ratios help investors to determine whether Buff Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Buff with respect to the benefits of owning Buff Technologies security.