Butler National Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 1.46
| BUKS Stock | USD 1.68 0.05 3.07% |
Butler |
Butler National Target Price Odds to finish below 1.46
The tendency of Butler OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.46 or more in 90 days |
| 1.68 | 90 days | 1.46 | about 82.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Butler National to drop to $ 1.46 or more in 90 days from now is about 82.1 (This Butler National Corp probability density function shows the probability of Butler OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Butler National Corp price to stay between $ 1.46 and its current price of $1.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.35 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.08 suggesting Butler National Corp market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Butler National is expected to follow. Additionally Butler National Corp has an alpha of 0.6137, implying that it can generate a 0.61 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Butler National Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Butler National
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Butler National Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Butler National Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Butler National is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Butler National's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Butler National Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Butler National within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.61 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Butler National Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Butler National for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Butler National Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Butler National Corp may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Butler National Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Butler National Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Butler OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Butler National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Butler National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 76.5 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 5.2 M |
Butler National Technical Analysis
Butler National's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Butler OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Butler National Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Butler OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Butler National Predictive Forecast Models
Butler National's time-series forecasting models is one of many Butler National's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Butler National's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Butler National Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Butler National for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Butler National Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Butler National Corp may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Butler National Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Butler OTC Stock Analysis
When running Butler National's price analysis, check to measure Butler National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Butler National is operating at the current time. Most of Butler National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Butler National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Butler National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Butler National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.