Amundi German (France) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 63.26

BUNS Etf  EUR 63.26  0.30  0.47%   
Amundi German's future price is the expected price of Amundi German instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amundi German Bund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Amundi German Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Amundi German Correlation, Amundi German Hype Analysis, Amundi German Volatility, Amundi German History as well as Amundi German Performance.
  
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Amundi German Target Price Odds to finish over 63.26

The tendency of Amundi Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 63.26 90 days 63.26 
about 27.31
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amundi German to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 27.31 (This Amundi German Bund probability density function shows the probability of Amundi Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amundi German Bund has a beta of -0.0275 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Amundi German are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Amundi German Bund is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Amundi German Bund has an alpha of 0.0118, implying that it can generate a 0.0118 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Amundi German Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amundi German

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amundi German Bund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.0563.2663.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
63.0063.2163.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
62.8863.0963.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
63.2863.7064.11
Details

Amundi German Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amundi German is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amundi German's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amundi German Bund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amundi German within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.58
Ir
Information ratio -0.54

Amundi German Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amundi German for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amundi German Bund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 98.07% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Amundi German Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amundi Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amundi German's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amundi German's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day31
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.88k

Amundi German Technical Analysis

Amundi German's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amundi Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amundi German Bund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amundi Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amundi German Predictive Forecast Models

Amundi German's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amundi German's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amundi German's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amundi German Bund

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amundi German for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amundi German Bund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 98.07% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in Amundi Etf

Amundi German financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amundi Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amundi with respect to the benefits of owning Amundi German security.