Burford Capital (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1051.71
| BUR Stock | 1,041 19.00 1.79% |
Burford |
Burford Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 1051.71
The tendency of Burford Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1,052 after 90 days |
| 1,041 | 90 days | 1,052 | about 75.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Burford Capital to stay under 1,052 after 90 days from now is about 75.93 (This Burford Capital Limited probability density function shows the probability of Burford Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Burford Capital price to stay between its current price of 1,041 and 1,052 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Burford Capital Limited has a beta of -0.0428 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Burford Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Burford Capital Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Burford Capital Limited has an alpha of 0.0489, implying that it can generate a 0.0489 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Burford Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Burford Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Burford Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Burford Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Burford Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Burford Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Burford Capital Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Burford Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 37.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Burford Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Burford Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Burford Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Burford Capital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Burford Capital generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Burford Capital reports new exhibit as of November 22 - Investing.com |
Burford Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Burford Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Burford Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Burford Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 223 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 328.1 M |
Burford Capital Technical Analysis
Burford Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Burford Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Burford Capital Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Burford Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Burford Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Burford Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Burford Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Burford Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Burford Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Burford Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Burford Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Burford Capital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Burford Capital generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Burford Capital reports new exhibit as of November 22 - Investing.com |
Other Information on Investing in Burford Stock
Burford Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Burford Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Burford with respect to the benefits of owning Burford Capital security.