Bukit Uluwatu (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 42.28

BUVA Stock  IDR 61.00  2.00  3.39%   
Bukit Uluwatu's future price is the expected price of Bukit Uluwatu instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bukit Uluwatu Villa performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bukit Uluwatu Backtesting, Bukit Uluwatu Valuation, Bukit Uluwatu Correlation, Bukit Uluwatu Hype Analysis, Bukit Uluwatu Volatility, Bukit Uluwatu History as well as Bukit Uluwatu Performance.
  
Please specify Bukit Uluwatu's target price for which you would like Bukit Uluwatu odds to be computed.

Bukit Uluwatu Target Price Odds to finish below 42.28

The tendency of Bukit Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  42.28  or more in 90 days
 61.00 90 days 42.28 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bukit Uluwatu to drop to  42.28  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bukit Uluwatu Villa probability density function shows the probability of Bukit Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bukit Uluwatu Villa price to stay between  42.28  and its current price of 61.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.24 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bukit Uluwatu Villa has a beta of -0.65 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bukit Uluwatu are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bukit Uluwatu Villa is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bukit Uluwatu Villa has an alpha of 0.35, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bukit Uluwatu Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bukit Uluwatu

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bukit Uluwatu Villa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
56.4261.0065.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.8751.4567.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
55.1659.7564.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
56.3960.2364.07
Details

Bukit Uluwatu Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bukit Uluwatu is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bukit Uluwatu's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bukit Uluwatu Villa, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bukit Uluwatu within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.65
σ
Overall volatility
4.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Bukit Uluwatu Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bukit Uluwatu for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bukit Uluwatu Villa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bukit Uluwatu Villa had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 612.71 B. Net Loss for the year was (50.47 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 299 B.
About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bukit Uluwatu Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bukit Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bukit Uluwatu's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bukit Uluwatu's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments53.7 B

Bukit Uluwatu Technical Analysis

Bukit Uluwatu's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bukit Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bukit Uluwatu Villa. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bukit Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bukit Uluwatu Predictive Forecast Models

Bukit Uluwatu's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bukit Uluwatu's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bukit Uluwatu's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bukit Uluwatu Villa

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bukit Uluwatu for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bukit Uluwatu Villa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bukit Uluwatu Villa had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 612.71 B. Net Loss for the year was (50.47 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 299 B.
About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Bukit Stock

Bukit Uluwatu financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bukit Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bukit with respect to the benefits of owning Bukit Uluwatu security.