Compania (Peru) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.42

BVN Stock   12.82  0.20  1.58%   
Compania's future price is the expected price of Compania instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Compania de Minas performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Compania Backtesting, Compania Valuation, Compania Correlation, Compania Hype Analysis, Compania Volatility, Compania History as well as Compania Performance.
  
Please specify Compania's target price for which you would like Compania odds to be computed.

Compania Target Price Odds to finish over 15.42

The tendency of Compania Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  15.42  or more in 90 days
 12.82 90 days 15.42 
about 29.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Compania to move over  15.42  or more in 90 days from now is about 29.77 (This Compania de Minas probability density function shows the probability of Compania Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Compania de Minas price to stay between its current price of  12.82  and  15.42  at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Compania has a beta of 0.56 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Compania average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Compania de Minas will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Compania de Minas has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Compania Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Compania

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compania de Minas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.2012.8215.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.8213.4416.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.2713.8916.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.7813.8516.92
Details

Compania Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Compania is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Compania's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Compania de Minas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Compania within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.56
σ
Overall volatility
1.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Compania Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Compania for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Compania de Minas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Compania de Minas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Compania Technical Analysis

Compania's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Compania Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Compania de Minas. In general, you should focus on analyzing Compania Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Compania Predictive Forecast Models

Compania's time-series forecasting models is one of many Compania's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Compania's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Compania de Minas

Checking the ongoing alerts about Compania for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Compania de Minas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Compania de Minas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Compania Stock

When determining whether Compania de Minas offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Compania's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Compania De Minas Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Compania De Minas Stock:
Check out Compania Backtesting, Compania Valuation, Compania Correlation, Compania Hype Analysis, Compania Volatility, Compania History as well as Compania Performance.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Compania's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Compania is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Compania's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.