Baoviet Securities (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 38900.0
| BVS Stock | 38,900 300.00 0.77% |
Baoviet |
Baoviet Securities Target Price Odds to finish below 38900.0
The tendency of Baoviet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 38,900 | 90 days | 38,900 | about 24.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baoviet Securities to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 24.47 (This Baoviet Securities probability density function shows the probability of Baoviet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Baoviet Securities has a beta of 0.64 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Baoviet Securities average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Baoviet Securities will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Baoviet Securities has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Baoviet Securities Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Baoviet Securities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baoviet Securities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Baoviet Securities Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baoviet Securities is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baoviet Securities' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baoviet Securities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baoviet Securities within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1,767 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Baoviet Securities Technical Analysis
Baoviet Securities' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Baoviet Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Baoviet Securities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Baoviet Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Baoviet Securities Predictive Forecast Models
Baoviet Securities' time-series forecasting models is one of many Baoviet Securities' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Baoviet Securities' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Baoviet Securities in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Baoviet Securities' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Baoviet Securities options trading.