Bidvest (South Africa) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 27490.0

BVT Stock   28,089  301.00  1.06%   
Bidvest's future price is the expected price of Bidvest instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bidvest Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bidvest Backtesting, Bidvest Valuation, Bidvest Correlation, Bidvest Hype Analysis, Bidvest Volatility, Bidvest History as well as Bidvest Performance.
  
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Bidvest Target Price Odds to finish over 27490.0

The tendency of Bidvest Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  27,490  in 90 days
 28,089 90 days 27,490 
about 85.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bidvest to stay above  27,490  in 90 days from now is about 85.72 (This Bidvest Group probability density function shows the probability of Bidvest Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bidvest Group price to stay between  27,490  and its current price of 28089.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bidvest Group has a beta of -0.0505 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bidvest are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bidvest Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bidvest Group has an alpha of 0.0468, implying that it can generate a 0.0468 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bidvest Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bidvest

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bidvest Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28,08828,08928,090
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24,46024,46230,898
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29,28529,28629,287
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27,97028,33528,700
Details

Bidvest Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bidvest is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bidvest's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bidvest Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bidvest within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
542.62
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Bidvest Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bidvest for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bidvest Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Bidvest Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bidvest Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bidvest's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bidvest's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding340.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments11.1 B

Bidvest Technical Analysis

Bidvest's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bidvest Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bidvest Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bidvest Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bidvest Predictive Forecast Models

Bidvest's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bidvest's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bidvest's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bidvest Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bidvest for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bidvest Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in Bidvest Stock

Bidvest financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bidvest Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bidvest with respect to the benefits of owning Bidvest security.