BW LPG (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.38
| BW9 Stock | EUR 12.36 0.17 1.39% |
BW9 |
BW LPG Target Price Odds to finish below 9.38
The tendency of BW9 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 9.38 or more in 90 days |
| 12.36 | 90 days | 9.38 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BW LPG to drop to € 9.38 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BW LPG Limited probability density function shows the probability of BW9 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BW LPG Limited price to stay between € 9.38 and its current price of €12.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.04 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon BW LPG has a beta of 0.36 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BW LPG average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BW LPG Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BW LPG Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BW LPG Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BW LPG
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BW LPG Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BW LPG Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BW LPG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BW LPG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BW LPG Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BW LPG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
BW LPG Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BW LPG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BW LPG Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BW LPG Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
BW LPG Technical Analysis
BW LPG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BW9 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BW LPG Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing BW9 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BW LPG Predictive Forecast Models
BW LPG's time-series forecasting models is one of many BW LPG's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BW LPG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BW LPG Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about BW LPG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BW LPG Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BW LPG Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in BW9 Stock
When determining whether BW LPG Limited is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if BW9 Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Bw Lpg Limited Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Bw Lpg Limited Stock:Check out BW LPG Backtesting, BW LPG Valuation, BW LPG Correlation, BW LPG Hype Analysis, BW LPG Volatility, BW LPG History as well as BW LPG Performance. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.