Boswell J G Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 579.41
| BWEL Stock | USD 560.00 3.22 0.57% |
Boswell |
Boswell J Target Price Odds to finish below 579.41
The tendency of Boswell Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 579.41 after 90 days |
| 560.00 | 90 days | 579.41 | about 79.58 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Boswell J to stay under $ 579.41 after 90 days from now is about 79.58 (This Boswell J G probability density function shows the probability of Boswell Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Boswell J G price to stay between its current price of $ 560.00 and $ 579.41 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.36 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Boswell J G has a beta of -0.33 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Boswell J are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Boswell J G is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Boswell J G has an alpha of 0.0754, implying that it can generate a 0.0754 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Boswell J Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Boswell J
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boswell J G. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Boswell J's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Boswell J Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Boswell J is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Boswell J's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Boswell J G, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Boswell J within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 18.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Boswell J Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Boswell Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Boswell J's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Boswell J's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0218 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 19 |
Boswell J Technical Analysis
Boswell J's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Boswell Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Boswell J G. In general, you should focus on analyzing Boswell Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Boswell J Predictive Forecast Models
Boswell J's time-series forecasting models is one of many Boswell J's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Boswell J's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Boswell J in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Boswell J's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Boswell J options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Boswell Pink Sheet
Boswell J financial ratios help investors to determine whether Boswell Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Boswell with respect to the benefits of owning Boswell J security.