Bw Lpg Limited Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.46

BWLP Stock   11.81  0.25  2.07%   
BW LPG's future price is the expected price of BW LPG instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BW LPG Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BW LPG Backtesting, BW LPG Valuation, BW LPG Correlation, BW LPG Hype Analysis, BW LPG Volatility, BW LPG History as well as BW LPG Performance.
  
At this time, BW LPG's Price Sales Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 12/04/2024, Price Fair Value is likely to grow to 1.45, while Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 3.07. Please specify BW LPG's target price for which you would like BW LPG odds to be computed.

BW LPG Target Price Odds to finish below 8.46

The tendency of BWLP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  8.46  or more in 90 days
 11.81 90 days 8.46 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BW LPG to drop to  8.46  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BW LPG Limited probability density function shows the probability of BWLP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BW LPG Limited price to stay between  8.46  and its current price of 11.81 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.78 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days BW LPG has a beta of 0.24 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BW LPG average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BW LPG Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BW LPG Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BW LPG Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BW LPG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BW LPG Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.6712.0814.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.489.8912.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.3710.7813.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.1412.6913.25
Details

BW LPG Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BW LPG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BW LPG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BW LPG Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BW LPG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
1.00
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

BW LPG Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BW LPG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BW LPG Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BW LPG Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Q3 2024 BW LPG Ltd Earnings Presentation Transcript

BW LPG Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BWLP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BW LPG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BW LPG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding133 M
Cash And Short Term Investments290.8 M

BW LPG Technical Analysis

BW LPG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BWLP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BW LPG Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing BWLP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BW LPG Predictive Forecast Models

BW LPG's time-series forecasting models is one of many BW LPG's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BW LPG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BW LPG Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about BW LPG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BW LPG Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BW LPG Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Q3 2024 BW LPG Ltd Earnings Presentation Transcript

Additional Tools for BWLP Stock Analysis

When running BW LPG's price analysis, check to measure BW LPG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BW LPG is operating at the current time. Most of BW LPG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BW LPG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BW LPG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BW LPG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.