BW LPG (Norway) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 145.21
| BWLPG Stock | NOK 150.10 1.30 0.87% |
BWLPG |
BW LPG Target Price Odds to finish below 145.21
The tendency of BWLPG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 145.21 or more in 90 days |
| 150.10 | 90 days | 145.21 | about 19.09 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BW LPG to drop to 145.21 or more in 90 days from now is about 19.09 (This BW LPG probability density function shows the probability of BWLPG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BW LPG price to stay between 145.21 and its current price of 150.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BW LPG has a beta of 0.0401 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BW LPG average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BW LPG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BW LPG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BW LPG Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BW LPG
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BW LPG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BW LPG Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BW LPG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BW LPG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BW LPG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BW LPG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
BW LPG Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BW LPG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BW LPG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BW LPG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BW LPG has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| BW LPG has accumulated 745.92 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 144.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. BW LPG has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist BW LPG until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, BW LPG's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like BW LPG sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for BWLPG to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about BW LPG's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 40.0% of BW LPG shares are held by company insiders |
BW LPG Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BWLPG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BW LPG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BW LPG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 139 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 135.9 M |
BW LPG Technical Analysis
BW LPG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BWLPG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BW LPG. In general, you should focus on analyzing BWLPG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BW LPG Predictive Forecast Models
BW LPG's time-series forecasting models is one of many BW LPG's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BW LPG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BW LPG
Checking the ongoing alerts about BW LPG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BW LPG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BW LPG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BW LPG has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| BW LPG has accumulated 745.92 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 144.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. BW LPG has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist BW LPG until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, BW LPG's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like BW LPG sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for BWLPG to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about BW LPG's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 40.0% of BW LPG shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in BWLPG Stock
BW LPG financial ratios help investors to determine whether BWLPG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BWLPG with respect to the benefits of owning BW LPG security.