BW Offshore (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.37
| BWO Stock | NOK 27.35 0.45 1.62% |
BWO |
BW Offshore Target Price Odds to finish below 23.37
The tendency of BWO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 23.37 or more in 90 days |
| 27.35 | 90 days | 23.37 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BW Offshore to drop to 23.37 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BW Offshore probability density function shows the probability of BWO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BW Offshore price to stay between 23.37 and its current price of 27.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.83 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BW Offshore has a beta of 0.56 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BW Offshore average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BW Offshore will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BW Offshore has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BW Offshore Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BW Offshore
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BW Offshore. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BW Offshore Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BW Offshore is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BW Offshore's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BW Offshore, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BW Offshore within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
BW Offshore Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BW Offshore for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BW Offshore can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BW Offshore has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| BW Offshore has accumulated 815.4 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 100.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. BW Offshore has a current ratio of 0.57, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist BW Offshore until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, BW Offshore's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like BW Offshore sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for BWO to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about BW Offshore's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 53.0% of BW Offshore shares are held by company insiders |
BW Offshore Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BWO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BW Offshore's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BW Offshore's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 180.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 266.7 M |
BW Offshore Technical Analysis
BW Offshore's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BWO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BW Offshore. In general, you should focus on analyzing BWO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BW Offshore Predictive Forecast Models
BW Offshore's time-series forecasting models is one of many BW Offshore's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BW Offshore's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BW Offshore
Checking the ongoing alerts about BW Offshore for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BW Offshore help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BW Offshore has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| BW Offshore has accumulated 815.4 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 100.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. BW Offshore has a current ratio of 0.57, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist BW Offshore until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, BW Offshore's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like BW Offshore sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for BWO to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about BW Offshore's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 53.0% of BW Offshore shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in BWO Stock
BW Offshore financial ratios help investors to determine whether BWO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BWO with respect to the benefits of owning BW Offshore security.