Blue Water Petroleum Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.32

BWPC Stock  USD 0.23  0.03  15.00%   
Blue Water's future price is the expected price of Blue Water instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Blue Water Petroleum performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Blue Water Backtesting, Blue Water Valuation, Blue Water Correlation, Blue Water Hype Analysis, Blue Water Volatility, Blue Water History as well as Blue Water Performance.
  
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Blue Water Target Price Odds to finish below 0.32

The tendency of Blue Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.32  after 90 days
 0.23 90 days 0.32 
about 83.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blue Water to stay under $ 0.32  after 90 days from now is about 83.4 (This Blue Water Petroleum probability density function shows the probability of Blue Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blue Water Petroleum price to stay between its current price of $ 0.23  and $ 0.32  at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.11 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Blue Water has a beta of 0.32 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Blue Water average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Blue Water Petroleum will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Blue Water Petroleum has an alpha of 0.0388, implying that it can generate a 0.0388 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Blue Water Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blue Water

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blue Water Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.2311.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.2111.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.1811.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.190.220.25
Details

Blue Water Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blue Water is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blue Water's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blue Water Petroleum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blue Water within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.004

Blue Water Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blue Water for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blue Water Petroleum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blue Water Petroleum had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Blue Water Petroleum has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Blue Water Petroleum has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (491.98 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Blue Water Petroleum currently holds about 579 in cash with (177.79 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Latest headline from news.google.com: BP Wins Exploration Rights For Shallow Water Block Offshore Trinidad - Barchart

Blue Water Technical Analysis

Blue Water's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blue Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blue Water Petroleum. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blue Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Blue Water Predictive Forecast Models

Blue Water's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blue Water's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blue Water's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Blue Water Petroleum

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blue Water for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blue Water Petroleum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blue Water Petroleum had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Blue Water Petroleum has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Blue Water Petroleum has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (491.98 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Blue Water Petroleum currently holds about 579 in cash with (177.79 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Latest headline from news.google.com: BP Wins Exploration Rights For Shallow Water Block Offshore Trinidad - Barchart

Other Information on Investing in Blue Pink Sheet

Blue Water financial ratios help investors to determine whether Blue Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Blue with respect to the benefits of owning Blue Water security.