Barings Active Short Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.11
| BXDCX Fund | USD 9.23 0.01 0.11% |
Barings |
Barings Active Target Price Odds to finish below 9.11
The tendency of Barings Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 9.11 or more in 90 days |
| 9.23 | 90 days | 9.11 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Barings Active to drop to $ 9.11 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Barings Active Short probability density function shows the probability of Barings Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Barings Active Short price to stay between $ 9.11 and its current price of $9.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.75 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Barings Active Short has a beta of -0.0012 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Barings Active are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Barings Active Short is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Barings Active Short has an alpha of 0.0117, implying that it can generate a 0.0117 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Barings Active Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Barings Active
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Barings Active Short. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Barings Active's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Barings Active Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Barings Active is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Barings Active's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Barings Active Short, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Barings Active within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0012 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.71 |
Barings Active Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Barings Active for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Barings Active Short can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund holds about 33.19% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Barings Active Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Barings Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Barings Active's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Barings Active's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Barings Active Technical Analysis
Barings Active's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Barings Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Barings Active Short. In general, you should focus on analyzing Barings Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Barings Active Predictive Forecast Models
Barings Active's time-series forecasting models is one of many Barings Active's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Barings Active's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Barings Active Short
Checking the ongoing alerts about Barings Active for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Barings Active Short help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund holds about 33.19% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Other Information on Investing in Barings Mutual Fund
Barings Active financial ratios help investors to determine whether Barings Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Barings with respect to the benefits of owning Barings Active security.
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