Blackstone Secured Lending Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24.71

BXSL Stock  USD 32.58  0.46  1.43%   
Blackstone Secured's future price is the expected price of Blackstone Secured instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Blackstone Secured Lending performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Blackstone Secured Backtesting, Blackstone Secured Valuation, Blackstone Secured Correlation, Blackstone Secured Hype Analysis, Blackstone Secured Volatility, Blackstone Secured History as well as Blackstone Secured Performance.
  
At this time, Blackstone Secured's Price Earnings Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to rise to 0.16 this year, although Price Book Value Ratio will most likely fall to 0.89. Please specify Blackstone Secured's target price for which you would like Blackstone Secured odds to be computed.

Blackstone Secured Target Price Odds to finish below 24.71

The tendency of Blackstone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 24.71  or more in 90 days
 32.58 90 days 24.71 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blackstone Secured to drop to $ 24.71  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Blackstone Secured Lending probability density function shows the probability of Blackstone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blackstone Secured price to stay between $ 24.71  and its current price of $32.58 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Blackstone Secured has a beta of 0.43 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Blackstone Secured average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Blackstone Secured Lending will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Blackstone Secured Lending has an alpha of 0.1205, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Blackstone Secured Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blackstone Secured

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blackstone Secured. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blackstone Secured's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.7032.5433.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.9031.7432.58
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
26.8929.5532.80
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.870.890.90
Details

Blackstone Secured Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blackstone Secured is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blackstone Secured's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blackstone Secured Lending, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blackstone Secured within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.43
σ
Overall volatility
0.97
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Blackstone Secured Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blackstone Secured for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blackstone Secured can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blackstone Secured is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Blackstone Secured has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
On 25th of October 2024 Blackstone Secured paid $ 0.77 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from zacks.com: Are Options Traders Betting on a Big Move in Blackstone Secured Lending Fund Stock

Blackstone Secured Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blackstone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blackstone Secured's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blackstone Secured's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding167.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments154.9 M

Blackstone Secured Technical Analysis

Blackstone Secured's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blackstone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blackstone Secured Lending. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blackstone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Blackstone Secured Predictive Forecast Models

Blackstone Secured's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blackstone Secured's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blackstone Secured's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Blackstone Secured

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blackstone Secured for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blackstone Secured help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blackstone Secured is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Blackstone Secured has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
On 25th of October 2024 Blackstone Secured paid $ 0.77 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from zacks.com: Are Options Traders Betting on a Big Move in Blackstone Secured Lending Fund Stock
When determining whether Blackstone Secured is a strong investment it is important to analyze Blackstone Secured's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Blackstone Secured's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Blackstone Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blackstone Secured. If investors know Blackstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blackstone Secured listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.125
Dividend Share
3.08
Earnings Share
3.87
Revenue Per Share
6.65
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.126
The market value of Blackstone Secured is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blackstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blackstone Secured's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blackstone Secured's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blackstone Secured's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blackstone Secured's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blackstone Secured's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blackstone Secured is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blackstone Secured's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.