Bayan Resources (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19,846
| BYAN Stock | IDR 19,575 25.00 0.13% |
Bayan |
Bayan Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 19,846
The tendency of Bayan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 19,575 | 90 days | 19,575 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bayan Resources to move below current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Bayan Resources Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Bayan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bayan Resources has a beta of 0.0895 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bayan Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bayan Resources Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bayan Resources Tbk has an alpha of 0.2351, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bayan Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bayan Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bayan Resources Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bayan Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bayan Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bayan Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bayan Resources Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bayan Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 791.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Bayan Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bayan Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bayan Resources Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bayan Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bayan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bayan Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bayan Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 980.5 M |
Bayan Resources Technical Analysis
Bayan Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bayan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bayan Resources Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bayan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bayan Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Bayan Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Bayan Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bayan Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bayan Resources Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bayan Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bayan Resources Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Bayan Stock
Bayan Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bayan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bayan with respect to the benefits of owning Bayan Resources security.