Baywa AG (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.98
| BYW6 Stock | 9.80 0.74 7.02% |
Baywa |
Baywa AG Target Price Odds to finish over 13.98
The tendency of Baywa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 13.98 or more in 90 days |
| 9.80 | 90 days | 13.98 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baywa AG to move over 13.98 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Baywa AG Vink probability density function shows the probability of Baywa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Baywa AG Vink price to stay between its current price of 9.80 and 13.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.18 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Baywa AG Vink has a beta of -0.3 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Baywa AG are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Baywa AG Vink is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Baywa AG Vink has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Baywa AG Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Baywa AG
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baywa AG Vink. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Baywa AG Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baywa AG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baywa AG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baywa AG Vink, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baywa AG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Baywa AG Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Baywa AG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Baywa AG Vink can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Baywa AG Vink generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Baywa AG Vink has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Baywa AG generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Baywa AG Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Baywa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Baywa AG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Baywa AG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 825.9 M |
Baywa AG Technical Analysis
Baywa AG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Baywa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Baywa AG Vink. In general, you should focus on analyzing Baywa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Baywa AG Predictive Forecast Models
Baywa AG's time-series forecasting models is one of many Baywa AG's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Baywa AG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Baywa AG Vink
Checking the ongoing alerts about Baywa AG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Baywa AG Vink help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Baywa AG Vink generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Baywa AG Vink has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Baywa AG generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Baywa Stock
Baywa AG financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baywa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baywa with respect to the benefits of owning Baywa AG security.