Ohio Variable College Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 20.30

BZEAX Fund  USD 18.84  0.04  0.21%   
Ohio Variable's future price is the expected price of Ohio Variable instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ohio Variable College performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ohio Variable Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Ohio Variable Correlation, Ohio Variable Hype Analysis, Ohio Variable Volatility, Ohio Variable History as well as Ohio Variable Performance.
  
Please specify Ohio Variable's target price for which you would like Ohio Variable odds to be computed.

Ohio Variable Target Price Odds to finish over 20.30

The tendency of Ohio Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 20.30  or more in 90 days
 18.84 90 days 20.30 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ohio Variable to move over $ 20.30  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ohio Variable College probability density function shows the probability of Ohio Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ohio Variable College price to stay between its current price of $ 18.84  and $ 20.30  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ohio Variable has a beta of 0.0732 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Ohio Variable average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ohio Variable College will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ohio Variable College has an alpha of 0.0912, implying that it can generate a 0.0912 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ohio Variable Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ohio Variable

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ohio Variable College. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.3718.8419.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.7817.2520.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.4618.9319.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.4118.7219.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ohio Variable. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ohio Variable's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ohio Variable's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ohio Variable College.

Ohio Variable Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ohio Variable is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ohio Variable's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ohio Variable College, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ohio Variable within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Ohio Variable Technical Analysis

Ohio Variable's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ohio Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ohio Variable College. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ohio Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ohio Variable Predictive Forecast Models

Ohio Variable's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ohio Variable's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ohio Variable's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Ohio Variable in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Ohio Variable's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Ohio Variable options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Ohio Mutual Fund

Ohio Variable financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ohio Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ohio with respect to the benefits of owning Ohio Variable security.
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