Bunzl Plc Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 42.55
| BZLFY Stock | USD 44.08 0.09 0.20% |
Bunzl |
Bunzl Plc Target Price Odds to finish below 42.55
The tendency of Bunzl Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 42.55 or more in 90 days |
| 44.08 | 90 days | 42.55 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bunzl Plc to drop to $ 42.55 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Bunzl plc probability density function shows the probability of Bunzl Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bunzl plc price to stay between $ 42.55 and its current price of $44.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.57 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Bunzl Plc has a beta of 0.4 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bunzl Plc average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bunzl plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bunzl plc has an alpha of 0.0432, implying that it can generate a 0.0432 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bunzl Plc Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Bunzl Plc
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bunzl plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bunzl Plc Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bunzl Plc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bunzl Plc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bunzl plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bunzl Plc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Bunzl Plc Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bunzl Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bunzl Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bunzl Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 335.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 776.9 M |
Bunzl Plc Technical Analysis
Bunzl Plc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bunzl Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bunzl plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bunzl Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bunzl Plc Predictive Forecast Models
Bunzl Plc's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bunzl Plc's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bunzl Plc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Bunzl Plc in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Bunzl Plc's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Bunzl Plc options trading.
Additional Tools for Bunzl Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Bunzl Plc's price analysis, check to measure Bunzl Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bunzl Plc is operating at the current time. Most of Bunzl Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bunzl Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bunzl Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bunzl Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.