AUCKLAND INTL (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.22
| BZTA Stock | EUR 4.46 0.02 0.45% |
AUCKLAND |
AUCKLAND INTL Target Price Odds to finish over 4.22
The tendency of AUCKLAND Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 4.22 in 90 days |
| 4.46 | 90 days | 4.22 | about 36.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AUCKLAND INTL to stay above € 4.22 in 90 days from now is about 36.94 (This AUCKLAND INTL AIRPORT probability density function shows the probability of AUCKLAND Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AUCKLAND INTL AIRPORT price to stay between € 4.22 and its current price of €4.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AUCKLAND INTL has a beta of 0.55 suggesting as returns on the market go up, AUCKLAND INTL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AUCKLAND INTL AIRPORT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AUCKLAND INTL AIRPORT has an alpha of 0.0472, implying that it can generate a 0.0472 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AUCKLAND INTL Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AUCKLAND INTL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AUCKLAND INTL AIRPORT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AUCKLAND INTL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AUCKLAND INTL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AUCKLAND INTL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AUCKLAND INTL AIRPORT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AUCKLAND INTL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.003 |
AUCKLAND INTL Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AUCKLAND Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AUCKLAND INTL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AUCKLAND INTL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0411 | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 515.6 M |
AUCKLAND INTL Technical Analysis
AUCKLAND INTL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AUCKLAND Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AUCKLAND INTL AIRPORT. In general, you should focus on analyzing AUCKLAND Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AUCKLAND INTL Predictive Forecast Models
AUCKLAND INTL's time-series forecasting models is one of many AUCKLAND INTL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AUCKLAND INTL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards AUCKLAND INTL in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, AUCKLAND INTL's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from AUCKLAND INTL options trading.
Other Information on Investing in AUCKLAND Stock
AUCKLAND INTL financial ratios help investors to determine whether AUCKLAND Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AUCKLAND with respect to the benefits of owning AUCKLAND INTL security.