Bank of Montreal (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 94.88

BZZ Stock  EUR 90.36  0.34  0.38%   
Bank of Montreal's future price is the expected price of Bank of Montreal instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bank of Montreal performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bank of Montreal Backtesting, Bank of Montreal Valuation, Bank of Montreal Correlation, Bank of Montreal Hype Analysis, Bank of Montreal Volatility, Bank of Montreal History as well as Bank of Montreal Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Bank Stock please use our How to Invest in Bank of Montreal guide.
  
Please specify Bank of Montreal's target price for which you would like Bank of Montreal odds to be computed.

Bank of Montreal Target Price Odds to finish over 94.88

The tendency of Bank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 94.88  or more in 90 days
 90.36 90 days 94.88 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank of Montreal to move over € 94.88  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bank of Montreal probability density function shows the probability of Bank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bank of Montreal price to stay between its current price of € 90.36  and € 94.88  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Bank of Montreal has a beta of 0.52 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bank of Montreal average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bank of Montreal will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bank of Montreal has an alpha of 0.1777, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bank of Montreal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bank of Montreal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank of Montreal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.2790.3691.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.32101.38102.47
Details

Bank of Montreal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank of Montreal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank of Montreal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank of Montreal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank of Montreal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.52
σ
Overall volatility
5.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Bank of Montreal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bank of Montreal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bank of Montreal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bank of Montreal has accumulated about 335.75 B in cash with (40.27 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 518.06.

Bank of Montreal Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bank of Montreal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank of Montreal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding677.1 M

Bank of Montreal Technical Analysis

Bank of Montreal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank of Montreal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bank of Montreal Predictive Forecast Models

Bank of Montreal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank of Montreal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bank of Montreal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bank of Montreal

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bank of Montreal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bank of Montreal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bank of Montreal has accumulated about 335.75 B in cash with (40.27 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 518.06.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Bank Stock

When determining whether Bank of Montreal offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Bank of Montreal's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Bank Of Montreal Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Bank Of Montreal Stock:
Check out Bank of Montreal Backtesting, Bank of Montreal Valuation, Bank of Montreal Correlation, Bank of Montreal Hype Analysis, Bank of Montreal Volatility, Bank of Montreal History as well as Bank of Montreal Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Bank Stock please use our How to Invest in Bank of Montreal guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bank of Montreal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bank of Montreal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bank of Montreal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.