Citigroup Capital Xiii Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 30.54
| C-PN Preferred Stock | USD 30.89 0.12 0.39% |
Citigroup |
Citigroup Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 30.54
The tendency of Citigroup Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 30.54 or more in 90 days |
| 30.89 | 90 days | 30.54 | about 84.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Citigroup Capital to drop to $ 30.54 or more in 90 days from now is about 84.34 (This Citigroup Capital XIII probability density function shows the probability of Citigroup Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Citigroup Capital XIII price to stay between $ 30.54 and its current price of $30.89 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Citigroup Capital has a beta of 0.0286 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Citigroup Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Citigroup Capital XIII will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Citigroup Capital XIII has an alpha of 0.0425, implying that it can generate a 0.0425 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Citigroup Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Citigroup Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Citigroup Capital XIII. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Citigroup Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Citigroup Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Citigroup Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Citigroup Capital XIII, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Citigroup Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Citigroup Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Citigroup Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Citigroup Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Citigroup Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | -5.2 B | |
| Short Long Term Debt Total | 282.3 B |
Citigroup Capital Technical Analysis
Citigroup Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Citigroup Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Citigroup Capital XIII. In general, you should focus on analyzing Citigroup Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Citigroup Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Citigroup Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Citigroup Capital's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Citigroup Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Citigroup Capital in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Citigroup Capital's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Citigroup Capital options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Citigroup Preferred Stock
Citigroup Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Citigroup Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Citigroup with respect to the benefits of owning Citigroup Capital security.