Capital Counties (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.58

C20 Stock  EUR 1.60  0.03  1.84%   
Capital Counties' future price is the expected price of Capital Counties instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Capital Counties Properties performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Capital Counties Backtesting, Capital Counties Valuation, Capital Counties Correlation, Capital Counties Hype Analysis, Capital Counties Volatility, Capital Counties History as well as Capital Counties Performance.
  
Please specify Capital Counties' target price for which you would like Capital Counties odds to be computed.

Capital Counties Target Price Odds to finish over 1.58

The tendency of Capital Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 1.58  in 90 days
 1.60 90 days 1.58 
about 89.41
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capital Counties to stay above € 1.58  in 90 days from now is about 89.41 (This Capital Counties Properties probability density function shows the probability of Capital Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capital Counties Pro price to stay between € 1.58  and its current price of €1.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.3 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Capital Counties has a beta of 0.51 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Capital Counties average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Capital Counties Properties will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Capital Counties Properties has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Capital Counties Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Capital Counties

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital Counties Pro. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.603.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.633.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.141.683.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.501.571.65
Details

Capital Counties Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capital Counties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capital Counties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capital Counties Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capital Counties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.51
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Capital Counties Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capital Counties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capital Counties Pro can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Capital Counties Pro generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Capital Counties Pro may become a speculative penny stock
Over 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Capital Counties Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capital Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capital Counties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capital Counties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding851.3 M

Capital Counties Technical Analysis

Capital Counties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capital Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capital Counties Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capital Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Capital Counties Predictive Forecast Models

Capital Counties' time-series forecasting models is one of many Capital Counties' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capital Counties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Capital Counties Pro

Checking the ongoing alerts about Capital Counties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capital Counties Pro help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Capital Counties Pro generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Capital Counties Pro may become a speculative penny stock
Over 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in Capital Stock

Capital Counties financial ratios help investors to determine whether Capital Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Capital with respect to the benefits of owning Capital Counties security.