Copa Holdings (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 77.4
| C2H Stock | EUR 85.50 6.50 7.07% |
Copa |
Copa Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 77.4
The tendency of Copa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 77.40 or more in 90 days |
| 85.50 | 90 days | 77.40 | about 10.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Copa Holdings to drop to € 77.40 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.13 (This Copa Holdings SA probability density function shows the probability of Copa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Copa Holdings SA price to stay between € 77.40 and its current price of €85.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.55 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Copa Holdings SA has a beta of -0.37 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Copa Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Copa Holdings SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Copa Holdings SA has an alpha of 0.2116, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Copa Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Copa Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Copa Holdings SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Copa Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Copa Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Copa Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Copa Holdings SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Copa Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Copa Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Copa Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Copa Holdings SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Copa Holdings SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Copa Holdings SA has accumulated 1.23 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 84.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Copa Holdings SA has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Copa Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Copa Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Copa Holdings SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Copa to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Copa Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Copa Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Copa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Copa Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Copa Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.9 M |
Copa Holdings Technical Analysis
Copa Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Copa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Copa Holdings SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Copa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Copa Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Copa Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Copa Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Copa Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Copa Holdings SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Copa Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Copa Holdings SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Copa Holdings SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Copa Holdings SA has accumulated 1.23 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 84.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Copa Holdings SA has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Copa Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Copa Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Copa Holdings SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Copa to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Copa Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Copa Stock
When determining whether Copa Holdings SA offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Copa Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Copa Holdings Sa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Copa Holdings Sa Stock:Check out Copa Holdings Backtesting, Copa Holdings Valuation, Copa Holdings Correlation, Copa Holdings Hype Analysis, Copa Holdings Volatility, Copa Holdings History as well as Copa Holdings Performance. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.