CENTRAL PUERTO (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.57
| C3TA Stock | EUR 13.80 0.80 6.15% |
CENTRAL |
CENTRAL PUERTO Target Price Odds to finish below 13.57
The tendency of CENTRAL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 13.57 or more in 90 days |
| 13.80 | 90 days | 13.57 | roughly 96.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CENTRAL PUERTO to drop to € 13.57 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This CENTRAL PUERTO ADR1 probability density function shows the probability of CENTRAL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CENTRAL PUERTO ADR1 price to stay between € 13.57 and its current price of €13.8 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CENTRAL PUERTO ADR1 has a beta of -0.25 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CENTRAL PUERTO are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CENTRAL PUERTO ADR1 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CENTRAL PUERTO ADR1 has an alpha of 0.7749, implying that it can generate a 0.77 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CENTRAL PUERTO Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CENTRAL PUERTO
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CENTRAL PUERTO ADR1. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CENTRAL PUERTO Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CENTRAL PUERTO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CENTRAL PUERTO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CENTRAL PUERTO ADR1, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CENTRAL PUERTO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.77 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.27 |
CENTRAL PUERTO Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CENTRAL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CENTRAL PUERTO's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CENTRAL PUERTO's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0274 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.15 | |
| Shares Float | 96 M |
CENTRAL PUERTO Technical Analysis
CENTRAL PUERTO's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CENTRAL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CENTRAL PUERTO ADR1. In general, you should focus on analyzing CENTRAL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CENTRAL PUERTO Predictive Forecast Models
CENTRAL PUERTO's time-series forecasting models is one of many CENTRAL PUERTO's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CENTRAL PUERTO's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards CENTRAL PUERTO in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, CENTRAL PUERTO's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from CENTRAL PUERTO options trading.
Other Information on Investing in CENTRAL Stock
CENTRAL PUERTO financial ratios help investors to determine whether CENTRAL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CENTRAL with respect to the benefits of owning CENTRAL PUERTO security.