CLEAR CHANNEL (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.608

C7C1 Stock  EUR 1.34  0.03  2.29%   
CLEAR CHANNEL's future price is the expected price of CLEAR CHANNEL instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CLEAR CHANNEL OHA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CLEAR CHANNEL Backtesting, CLEAR CHANNEL Valuation, CLEAR CHANNEL Correlation, CLEAR CHANNEL Hype Analysis, CLEAR CHANNEL Volatility, CLEAR CHANNEL History as well as CLEAR CHANNEL Performance.
  
Please specify CLEAR CHANNEL's target price for which you would like CLEAR CHANNEL odds to be computed.

CLEAR CHANNEL Target Price Odds to finish over 1.608

The tendency of CLEAR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 1.61  or more in 90 days
 1.34 90 days 1.61 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CLEAR CHANNEL to move over € 1.61  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CLEAR CHANNEL OHA probability density function shows the probability of CLEAR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CLEAR CHANNEL OHA price to stay between its current price of € 1.34  and € 1.61  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CLEAR CHANNEL has a beta of 0.77 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CLEAR CHANNEL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CLEAR CHANNEL OHA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CLEAR CHANNEL OHA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CLEAR CHANNEL Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CLEAR CHANNEL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CLEAR CHANNEL OHA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.344.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.384.08
Details

CLEAR CHANNEL Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CLEAR CHANNEL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CLEAR CHANNEL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CLEAR CHANNEL OHA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CLEAR CHANNEL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.77
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

CLEAR CHANNEL Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CLEAR CHANNEL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CLEAR CHANNEL OHA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CLEAR CHANNEL OHA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CLEAR CHANNEL OHA may become a speculative penny stock
CLEAR CHANNEL OHA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 2.51 B. Net Loss for the year was (624.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 986.96 M.
CLEAR CHANNEL OHA has accumulated about 563.99 M in cash with (345.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.2.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

CLEAR CHANNEL Technical Analysis

CLEAR CHANNEL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CLEAR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CLEAR CHANNEL OHA. In general, you should focus on analyzing CLEAR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CLEAR CHANNEL Predictive Forecast Models

CLEAR CHANNEL's time-series forecasting models is one of many CLEAR CHANNEL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CLEAR CHANNEL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CLEAR CHANNEL OHA

Checking the ongoing alerts about CLEAR CHANNEL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CLEAR CHANNEL OHA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CLEAR CHANNEL OHA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CLEAR CHANNEL OHA may become a speculative penny stock
CLEAR CHANNEL OHA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 2.51 B. Net Loss for the year was (624.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 986.96 M.
CLEAR CHANNEL OHA has accumulated about 563.99 M in cash with (345.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.2.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in CLEAR Stock

CLEAR CHANNEL financial ratios help investors to determine whether CLEAR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CLEAR with respect to the benefits of owning CLEAR CHANNEL security.