CONSOL Energy (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 112.64
| C9X Stock | EUR 125.15 1.40 1.13% |
CONSOL |
CONSOL Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 112.64
The tendency of CONSOL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 112.64 or more in 90 days |
| 125.15 | 90 days | 112.64 | about 81.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CONSOL Energy to drop to € 112.64 or more in 90 days from now is about 81.86 (This CONSOL Energy probability density function shows the probability of CONSOL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CONSOL Energy price to stay between € 112.64 and its current price of €125.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.66 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.04 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, CONSOL Energy will likely underperform. Additionally CONSOL Energy has an alpha of 0.2492, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CONSOL Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CONSOL Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CONSOL Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CONSOL Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CONSOL Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CONSOL Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CONSOL Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CONSOL Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 13.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
CONSOL Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CONSOL Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CONSOL Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CONSOL Energy has accumulated 342.11 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.29, which is about average as compared to similar companies. CONSOL Energy has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CONSOL Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CONSOL Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CONSOL Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CONSOL to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CONSOL Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 94.0% of CONSOL Energy shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
CONSOL Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CONSOL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CONSOL Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CONSOL Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.7 M |
CONSOL Energy Technical Analysis
CONSOL Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CONSOL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CONSOL Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing CONSOL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CONSOL Energy Predictive Forecast Models
CONSOL Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many CONSOL Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CONSOL Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CONSOL Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about CONSOL Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CONSOL Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CONSOL Energy has accumulated 342.11 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.29, which is about average as compared to similar companies. CONSOL Energy has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CONSOL Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CONSOL Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CONSOL Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CONSOL to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CONSOL Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 94.0% of CONSOL Energy shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in CONSOL Stock
When determining whether CONSOL Energy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of CONSOL Energy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Consol Energy Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Consol Energy Stock:Check out CONSOL Energy Backtesting, CONSOL Energy Valuation, CONSOL Energy Correlation, CONSOL Energy Hype Analysis, CONSOL Energy Volatility, CONSOL Energy History as well as CONSOL Energy Performance. For more detail on how to invest in CONSOL Stock please use our How to Invest in CONSOL Energy guide.You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.