Cibc Active Investment Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 20.08

CACB Etf  CAD 19.93  0.04  0.20%   
CIBC Active's future price is the expected price of CIBC Active instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CIBC Active Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CIBC Active Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, CIBC Active Correlation, CIBC Active Hype Analysis, CIBC Active Volatility, CIBC Active History as well as CIBC Active Performance.
  
Please specify CIBC Active's target price for which you would like CIBC Active odds to be computed.

CIBC Active Target Price Odds to finish over 20.08

The tendency of CIBC Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over C$ 20.08  or more in 90 days
 19.93 90 days 20.08 
about 30.85
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CIBC Active to move over C$ 20.08  or more in 90 days from now is about 30.85 (This CIBC Active Investment probability density function shows the probability of CIBC Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CIBC Active Investment price to stay between its current price of C$ 19.93  and C$ 20.08  at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CIBC Active has a beta of 0.0199 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CIBC Active average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CIBC Active Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CIBC Active Investment has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CIBC Active Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CIBC Active

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CIBC Active Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.6219.8920.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.6519.9220.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.5519.8120.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.8320.0020.17
Details

CIBC Active Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CIBC Active is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CIBC Active's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CIBC Active Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CIBC Active within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.46

CIBC Active Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CIBC Active for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CIBC Active Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 91.88% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

CIBC Active Technical Analysis

CIBC Active's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CIBC Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CIBC Active Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing CIBC Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CIBC Active Predictive Forecast Models

CIBC Active's time-series forecasting models is one of many CIBC Active's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CIBC Active's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CIBC Active Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about CIBC Active for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CIBC Active Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 91.88% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in CIBC Etf

CIBC Active financial ratios help investors to determine whether CIBC Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CIBC with respect to the benefits of owning CIBC Active security.