CAG Group (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 106.79
| CAG Stock | 110.00 1.00 0.90% |
CAG |
CAG Group Target Price Odds to finish below 106.79
The tendency of CAG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 106.79 or more in 90 days |
| 110.00 | 90 days | 106.79 | about 6.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CAG Group to drop to 106.79 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.04 (This CAG Group AB probability density function shows the probability of CAG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CAG Group AB price to stay between 106.79 and its current price of 110.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CAG Group AB has a beta of -0.22 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CAG Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CAG Group AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CAG Group AB has an alpha of 0.0467, implying that it can generate a 0.0467 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CAG Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CAG Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CAG Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CAG Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CAG Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CAG Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CAG Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CAG Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
CAG Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CAG Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CAG Group AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
CAG Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CAG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CAG Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CAG Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 81.3 M |
CAG Group Technical Analysis
CAG Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CAG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CAG Group AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing CAG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CAG Group Predictive Forecast Models
CAG Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many CAG Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CAG Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CAG Group AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about CAG Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CAG Group AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for CAG Stock Analysis
When running CAG Group's price analysis, check to measure CAG Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CAG Group is operating at the current time. Most of CAG Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CAG Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CAG Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CAG Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.