Cairo Mezz (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.38

CAIROMEZ  EUR 0.40  0.02  4.76%   
Cairo Mezz's future price is the expected price of Cairo Mezz instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cairo Mezz PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cairo Mezz Backtesting, Cairo Mezz Valuation, Cairo Mezz Correlation, Cairo Mezz Hype Analysis, Cairo Mezz Volatility, Cairo Mezz History as well as Cairo Mezz Performance.
  
Please specify Cairo Mezz's target price for which you would like Cairo Mezz odds to be computed.

Cairo Mezz Target Price Odds to finish below 0.38

The tendency of Cairo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.38  or more in 90 days
 0.40 90 days 0.38 
about 5.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cairo Mezz to drop to € 0.38  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.46 (This Cairo Mezz PLC probability density function shows the probability of Cairo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cairo Mezz PLC price to stay between € 0.38  and its current price of €0.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cairo Mezz PLC has a beta of -0.84 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Cairo Mezz are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Cairo Mezz PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cairo Mezz PLC has an alpha of 0.1515, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cairo Mezz Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cairo Mezz

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cairo Mezz PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.403.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.353.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.383.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.380.440.49
Details

Cairo Mezz Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cairo Mezz is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cairo Mezz's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cairo Mezz PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cairo Mezz within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.84
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Cairo Mezz Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cairo Mezz for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cairo Mezz PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cairo Mezz PLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Cairo Mezz PLC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Cairo Mezz Technical Analysis

Cairo Mezz's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cairo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cairo Mezz PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cairo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cairo Mezz Predictive Forecast Models

Cairo Mezz's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cairo Mezz's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cairo Mezz's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cairo Mezz PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cairo Mezz for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cairo Mezz PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cairo Mezz PLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Cairo Mezz PLC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Cairo Stock

Cairo Mezz financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cairo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cairo with respect to the benefits of owning Cairo Mezz security.