Calcimedica, Common Stock Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.55
| CALC Stock | 2.76 0.01 0.36% |
CalciMedica, |
CalciMedica, Common Target Price Odds to finish below 5.55
The tendency of CalciMedica, Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 5.55 after 90 days |
| 2.76 | 90 days | 5.55 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CalciMedica, Common to stay under 5.55 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This CalciMedica, Common Stock probability density function shows the probability of CalciMedica, Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CalciMedica, Common Stock price to stay between its current price of 2.76 and 5.55 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 94.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days CalciMedica, Common has a beta of 0.88 suggesting CalciMedica, Common Stock market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, CalciMedica, Common is expected to follow. Additionally CalciMedica, Common Stock has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CalciMedica, Common Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CalciMedica, Common
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CalciMedica, Common Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CalciMedica, Common Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CalciMedica, Common is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CalciMedica, Common's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CalciMedica, Common Stock, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CalciMedica, Common within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.49 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
CalciMedica, Common Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CalciMedica, Common for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CalciMedica, Common Stock can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CalciMedica, Common generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CalciMedica, Common has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| CalciMedica, Common has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (34.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| CalciMedica, Common generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| CalciMedica, Common has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Insider Activity Roundup Fridays Key Buys and Sells in US Stocks |
CalciMedica, Common Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CalciMedica, Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CalciMedica, Common's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CalciMedica, Common's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.2 M |
CalciMedica, Common Technical Analysis
CalciMedica, Common's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CalciMedica, Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CalciMedica, Common Stock. In general, you should focus on analyzing CalciMedica, Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CalciMedica, Common Predictive Forecast Models
CalciMedica, Common's time-series forecasting models is one of many CalciMedica, Common's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CalciMedica, Common's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CalciMedica, Common Stock
Checking the ongoing alerts about CalciMedica, Common for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CalciMedica, Common Stock help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CalciMedica, Common generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CalciMedica, Common has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| CalciMedica, Common has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (34.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| CalciMedica, Common generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| CalciMedica, Common has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Insider Activity Roundup Fridays Key Buys and Sells in US Stocks |
Check out CalciMedica, Common Backtesting, CalciMedica, Common Valuation, CalciMedica, Common Correlation, CalciMedica, Common Hype Analysis, CalciMedica, Common Volatility, CalciMedica, Common History as well as CalciMedica, Common Performance. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CalciMedica, Common. If investors know CalciMedica, will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CalciMedica, Common listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.11) | Return On Assets (0.65) | Return On Equity (0.84) |
The market value of CalciMedica, Common Stock is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CalciMedica, that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CalciMedica, Common's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CalciMedica, Common's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CalciMedica, Common's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CalciMedica, Common's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CalciMedica, Common's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CalciMedica, Common is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CalciMedica, Common's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.