Calida Holding (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20.39
| CALN Stock | CHF 23.75 0.30 1.28% |
Calida |
Calida Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 20.39
The tendency of Calida Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to ₣ 20.39 or more in 90 days |
| 23.75 | 90 days | 20.39 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Calida Holding to drop to ₣ 20.39 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Calida Holding AG probability density function shows the probability of Calida Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Calida Holding AG price to stay between ₣ 20.39 and its current price of ₣23.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.33 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Calida Holding has a beta of 0.27 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Calida Holding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Calida Holding AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Calida Holding AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Calida Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Calida Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calida Holding AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Calida Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Calida Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Calida Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Calida Holding AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Calida Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Calida Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Calida Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Calida Holding AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Calida Holding AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Calida Holding AG has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Calida Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Calida Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Calida Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Calida Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 46.7 M |
Calida Holding Technical Analysis
Calida Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Calida Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Calida Holding AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Calida Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Calida Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Calida Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Calida Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Calida Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Calida Holding AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about Calida Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Calida Holding AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Calida Holding AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Calida Holding AG has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Calida Stock Analysis
When running Calida Holding's price analysis, check to measure Calida Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Calida Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Calida Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Calida Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Calida Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Calida Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.