Campina Ice (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 268.00

CAMP Stock  IDR 268.00  8.00  3.08%   
Campina Ice's future price is the expected price of Campina Ice instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Campina Ice Cream performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Campina Ice Backtesting, Campina Ice Valuation, Campina Ice Correlation, Campina Ice Hype Analysis, Campina Ice Volatility, Campina Ice History as well as Campina Ice Performance.
  
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Campina Ice Target Price Odds to finish over 268.00

The tendency of Campina Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 268.00 90 days 268.00 
about 92.19
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Campina Ice to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.19 (This Campina Ice Cream probability density function shows the probability of Campina Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Campina Ice has a beta of 0.11 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Campina Ice average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Campina Ice Cream will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Campina Ice Cream has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Campina Ice Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Campina Ice

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Campina Ice Cream. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
266.44268.00269.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
226.24227.80294.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
271.78273.34274.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
257.79265.33272.88
Details

Campina Ice Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Campina Ice is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Campina Ice's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Campina Ice Cream, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Campina Ice within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
24.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.36

Campina Ice Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Campina Ice for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Campina Ice Cream can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Campina Ice Cream generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 85.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Campina Ice Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Campina Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Campina Ice's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Campina Ice's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments610.5 B

Campina Ice Technical Analysis

Campina Ice's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Campina Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Campina Ice Cream. In general, you should focus on analyzing Campina Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Campina Ice Predictive Forecast Models

Campina Ice's time-series forecasting models is one of many Campina Ice's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Campina Ice's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Campina Ice Cream

Checking the ongoing alerts about Campina Ice for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Campina Ice Cream help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Campina Ice Cream generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 85.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Campina Stock

Campina Ice financial ratios help investors to determine whether Campina Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Campina with respect to the benefits of owning Campina Ice security.