Camtek (Israel) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 27970.0

CAMT Stock  ILS 26,320  1,650  5.90%   
Camtek's future price is the expected price of Camtek instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Camtek performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Camtek Backtesting, Camtek Valuation, Camtek Correlation, Camtek Hype Analysis, Camtek Volatility, Camtek History as well as Camtek Performance.
For information on how to trade Camtek Stock refer to our How to Trade Camtek Stock guide.
  
Please specify Camtek's target price for which you would like Camtek odds to be computed.

Camtek Target Price Odds to finish over 27970.0

The tendency of Camtek Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over S 27,970  or more in 90 days
 26,320 90 days 27,970 
about 86.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Camtek to move over S 27,970  or more in 90 days from now is about 86.46 (This Camtek probability density function shows the probability of Camtek Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Camtek price to stay between its current price of S 26,320  and S 27,970  at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Camtek has a beta of 0.18 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Camtek average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Camtek will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Camtek has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Camtek Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Camtek

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Camtek. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26,31726,32026,323
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24,55824,56228,952
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24,62524,62924,632
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25,84429,00932,175
Details

Camtek Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Camtek is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Camtek's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Camtek, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Camtek within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.61
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
3,638
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Camtek Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Camtek for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Camtek can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Camtek generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Camtek has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Camtek Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Camtek Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Camtek's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Camtek's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding43.8 M

Camtek Technical Analysis

Camtek's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Camtek Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Camtek. In general, you should focus on analyzing Camtek Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Camtek Predictive Forecast Models

Camtek's time-series forecasting models is one of many Camtek's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Camtek's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Camtek

Checking the ongoing alerts about Camtek for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Camtek help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Camtek generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Camtek has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Camtek Stock

When determining whether Camtek is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Camtek Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Camtek Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Camtek Stock:
Check out Camtek Backtesting, Camtek Valuation, Camtek Correlation, Camtek Hype Analysis, Camtek Volatility, Camtek History as well as Camtek Performance.
For information on how to trade Camtek Stock refer to our How to Trade Camtek Stock guide.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Camtek's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Camtek is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Camtek's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.