Camtek (Israel) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 29,811
| CAMT Stock | ILS 27,400 1,340 5.14% |
Camtek |
Camtek Target Price Odds to finish below 29,811
The tendency of Camtek Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 27,400 | 90 days | 27,400 | about 11.05 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Camtek to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 11.05 (This Camtek probability density function shows the probability of Camtek Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Camtek has a beta of 0.17 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Camtek average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Camtek will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Camtek has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Camtek Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Camtek
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Camtek. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Camtek Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Camtek is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Camtek's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Camtek, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Camtek within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3,223 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Camtek Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Camtek for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Camtek can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Camtek generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Camtek has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Camtek Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Camtek Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Camtek's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Camtek's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.8 M |
Camtek Technical Analysis
Camtek's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Camtek Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Camtek. In general, you should focus on analyzing Camtek Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Camtek Predictive Forecast Models
Camtek's time-series forecasting models is one of many Camtek's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Camtek's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Camtek
Checking the ongoing alerts about Camtek for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Camtek help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Camtek generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Camtek has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Camtek Stock
When determining whether Camtek is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Camtek Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Camtek Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Camtek Stock:Check out Camtek Backtesting, Camtek Valuation, Camtek Correlation, Camtek Hype Analysis, Camtek Volatility, Camtek History as well as Camtek Performance. For information on how to trade Camtek Stock refer to our How to Trade Camtek Stock guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.