Cantargia (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.8

CANTA Stock  SEK 1.80  0.03  1.64%   
Cantargia's future price is the expected price of Cantargia instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cantargia AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cantargia Backtesting, Cantargia Valuation, Cantargia Correlation, Cantargia Hype Analysis, Cantargia Volatility, Cantargia History as well as Cantargia Performance.
  
Please specify Cantargia's target price for which you would like Cantargia odds to be computed.

Cantargia Target Price Odds to finish over 3.8

The tendency of Cantargia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 3.80  or more in 90 days
 1.80 90 days 3.80 
about 14.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cantargia to move over kr 3.80  or more in 90 days from now is about 14.94 (This Cantargia AB probability density function shows the probability of Cantargia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cantargia AB price to stay between its current price of kr 1.80  and kr 3.80  at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cantargia AB has a beta of -4.4 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Cantargia AB are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Cantargia is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Cantargia AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cantargia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cantargia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cantargia AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.837.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.767.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cantargia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cantargia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cantargia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cantargia AB.

Cantargia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cantargia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cantargia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cantargia AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cantargia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones-4.4
σ
Overall volatility
0.77
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Cantargia Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cantargia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cantargia AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cantargia AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cantargia AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Cantargia AB may become a speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (370.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Cantargia AB has accumulated about 842.44 M in cash with (346.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.41, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Cantargia Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cantargia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cantargia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cantargia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding120.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments559.4 M

Cantargia Technical Analysis

Cantargia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cantargia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cantargia AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cantargia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cantargia Predictive Forecast Models

Cantargia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cantargia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cantargia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cantargia AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cantargia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cantargia AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cantargia AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cantargia AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Cantargia AB may become a speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (370.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Cantargia AB has accumulated about 842.44 M in cash with (346.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.41, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Additional Tools for Cantargia Stock Analysis

When running Cantargia's price analysis, check to measure Cantargia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cantargia is operating at the current time. Most of Cantargia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cantargia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cantargia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cantargia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.