Caplin Point (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1,880

CAPLIPOINT   2,196  89.00  4.22%   
Caplin Point's future price is the expected price of Caplin Point instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Caplin Point Laboratories performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Caplin Point Backtesting, Caplin Point Valuation, Caplin Point Correlation, Caplin Point Hype Analysis, Caplin Point Volatility, Caplin Point History as well as Caplin Point Performance.
  
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Caplin Point Target Price Odds to finish below 1,880

The tendency of Caplin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 2,196 90 days 2,196 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Caplin Point to move below current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Caplin Point Laboratories probability density function shows the probability of Caplin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Caplin Point has a beta of 0.12 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Caplin Point average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Caplin Point Laboratories will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Caplin Point Laboratories has an alpha of 0.1311, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Caplin Point Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Caplin Point

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Caplin Point Laboratories. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,9772,2112,214
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,7601,7632,416
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,1442,1472,150
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
16.3816.9417.50
Details

Caplin Point Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Caplin Point is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Caplin Point's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Caplin Point Laboratories, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Caplin Point within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
75.35
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Caplin Point Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Caplin Point for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Caplin Point Laboratories can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Caplin Point is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Caplin Point Laboratories Limited Announces Cessation of D Sathyanarayanan as an Independent Director - Marketscreener.com

Caplin Point Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Caplin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Caplin Point's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Caplin Point's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding76.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments7.9 B

Caplin Point Technical Analysis

Caplin Point's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Caplin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Caplin Point Laboratories. In general, you should focus on analyzing Caplin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Caplin Point Predictive Forecast Models

Caplin Point's time-series forecasting models is one of many Caplin Point's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Caplin Point's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Caplin Point Laboratories

Checking the ongoing alerts about Caplin Point for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Caplin Point Laboratories help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Caplin Point is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Caplin Point Laboratories Limited Announces Cessation of D Sathyanarayanan as an Independent Director - Marketscreener.com

Other Information on Investing in Caplin Stock

Caplin Point financial ratios help investors to determine whether Caplin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Caplin with respect to the benefits of owning Caplin Point security.