CapMan Oyj (Finland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.28

CAPMAN Stock  EUR 1.72  0.04  2.38%   
CapMan Oyj's future price is the expected price of CapMan Oyj instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CapMan Oyj B performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CapMan Oyj Backtesting, CapMan Oyj Valuation, CapMan Oyj Correlation, CapMan Oyj Hype Analysis, CapMan Oyj Volatility, CapMan Oyj History as well as CapMan Oyj Performance.
  
Please specify CapMan Oyj's target price for which you would like CapMan Oyj odds to be computed.

CapMan Oyj Target Price Odds to finish below 0.28

The tendency of CapMan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.28  or more in 90 days
 1.72 90 days 0.28 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CapMan Oyj to drop to € 0.28  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CapMan Oyj B probability density function shows the probability of CapMan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CapMan Oyj B price to stay between € 0.28  and its current price of €1.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CapMan Oyj has a beta of 0.49 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CapMan Oyj average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CapMan Oyj B will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CapMan Oyj B has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CapMan Oyj Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CapMan Oyj

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CapMan Oyj B. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.251.723.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.291.763.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.251.723.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.721.721.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CapMan Oyj. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CapMan Oyj's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CapMan Oyj's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CapMan Oyj B.

CapMan Oyj Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CapMan Oyj is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CapMan Oyj's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CapMan Oyj B, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CapMan Oyj within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

CapMan Oyj Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CapMan Oyj for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CapMan Oyj B can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CapMan Oyj B generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CapMan Oyj B may become a speculative penny stock
About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

CapMan Oyj Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CapMan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CapMan Oyj's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CapMan Oyj's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding156.6 M

CapMan Oyj Technical Analysis

CapMan Oyj's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CapMan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CapMan Oyj B. In general, you should focus on analyzing CapMan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CapMan Oyj Predictive Forecast Models

CapMan Oyj's time-series forecasting models is one of many CapMan Oyj's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CapMan Oyj's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CapMan Oyj B

Checking the ongoing alerts about CapMan Oyj for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CapMan Oyj B help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CapMan Oyj B generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CapMan Oyj B may become a speculative penny stock
About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in CapMan Stock

CapMan Oyj financial ratios help investors to determine whether CapMan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CapMan with respect to the benefits of owning CapMan Oyj security.