Inter Cars (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 483.79
| CAR Stock | 495.00 14.00 2.75% |
Inter |
Inter Cars Target Price Odds to finish below 483.79
The tendency of Inter Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 483.79 or more in 90 days |
| 495.00 | 90 days | 483.79 | about 13.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inter Cars to drop to 483.79 or more in 90 days from now is about 13.11 (This Inter Cars SA probability density function shows the probability of Inter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inter Cars SA price to stay between 483.79 and its current price of 495.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.43 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Inter Cars has a beta of 0.34 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Inter Cars average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Inter Cars SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Inter Cars SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Inter Cars Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Inter Cars
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inter Cars SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inter Cars' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Inter Cars Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inter Cars is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inter Cars' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inter Cars SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inter Cars within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 14.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Inter Cars Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inter Cars for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inter Cars SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Inter Cars SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Inter Cars Technical Analysis
Inter Cars' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inter Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inter Cars SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inter Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Inter Cars Predictive Forecast Models
Inter Cars' time-series forecasting models is one of many Inter Cars' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inter Cars' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Inter Cars SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Inter Cars for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inter Cars SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Inter Cars SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Inter Stock Analysis
When running Inter Cars' price analysis, check to measure Inter Cars' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inter Cars is operating at the current time. Most of Inter Cars' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inter Cars' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inter Cars' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inter Cars to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.