Metro Healthcare (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 176.06
| CARE Stock | IDR 156.00 6.00 4.00% |
Metro |
Metro Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish over 176.06
The tendency of Metro Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 176.06 or more in 90 days |
| 156.00 | 90 days | 176.06 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Metro Healthcare to move over 176.06 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Metro Healthcare Indonesia probability density function shows the probability of Metro Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Metro Healthcare Ind price to stay between its current price of 156.00 and 176.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Metro Healthcare Indonesia has a beta of -0.0492 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Metro Healthcare are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Metro Healthcare Indonesia is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Metro Healthcare Indonesia has an alpha of 1.1036, implying that it can generate a 1.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Metro Healthcare Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Metro Healthcare
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Metro Healthcare Ind. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Metro Healthcare Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Metro Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Metro Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Metro Healthcare Indonesia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Metro Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 21.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.29 |
Metro Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Metro Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Metro Healthcare Ind can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Metro Healthcare Ind appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Metro Healthcare Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Metro Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Metro Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Metro Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 T |
Metro Healthcare Technical Analysis
Metro Healthcare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Metro Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Metro Healthcare Indonesia. In general, you should focus on analyzing Metro Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Metro Healthcare Predictive Forecast Models
Metro Healthcare's time-series forecasting models is one of many Metro Healthcare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Metro Healthcare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Metro Healthcare Ind
Checking the ongoing alerts about Metro Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Metro Healthcare Ind help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Metro Healthcare Ind appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Metro Stock
Metro Healthcare financial ratios help investors to determine whether Metro Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Metro with respect to the benefits of owning Metro Healthcare security.