Carisma Therapeutics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.16
| CARM Stock | 0.40 0.09 18.37% |
Carisma |
Carisma Therapeutics Target Price Odds to finish over 18.16
The tendency of Carisma Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 18.16 or more in 90 days |
| 0.40 | 90 days | 18.16 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Carisma Therapeutics to move over 18.16 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Carisma Therapeutics probability density function shows the probability of Carisma Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Carisma Therapeutics price to stay between its current price of 0.40 and 18.16 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.59 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Carisma Therapeutics will likely underperform. Additionally Carisma Therapeutics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Carisma Therapeutics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Carisma Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carisma Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Carisma Therapeutics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Carisma Therapeutics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Carisma Therapeutics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Carisma Therapeutics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Carisma Therapeutics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.39 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.29 |
Carisma Therapeutics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Carisma Therapeutics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Carisma Therapeutics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Carisma Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Carisma Therapeutics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Carisma Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Carisma Therapeutics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 14.92 M. Net Loss for the year was (86.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Carisma Therapeutics generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Carisma Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: D. Boral Capital Cuts Carisma Therapeutics Price Target to 12.00 |
Carisma Therapeutics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Carisma Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Carisma Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Carisma Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 77.6 M |
Carisma Therapeutics Technical Analysis
Carisma Therapeutics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Carisma Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Carisma Therapeutics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Carisma Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Carisma Therapeutics Predictive Forecast Models
Carisma Therapeutics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Carisma Therapeutics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Carisma Therapeutics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Carisma Therapeutics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Carisma Therapeutics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Carisma Therapeutics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Carisma Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Carisma Therapeutics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Carisma Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Carisma Therapeutics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 14.92 M. Net Loss for the year was (86.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Carisma Therapeutics generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Carisma Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: D. Boral Capital Cuts Carisma Therapeutics Price Target to 12.00 |
Check out Carisma Therapeutics Backtesting, Carisma Therapeutics Valuation, Carisma Therapeutics Correlation, Carisma Therapeutics Hype Analysis, Carisma Therapeutics Volatility, Carisma Therapeutics History as well as Carisma Therapeutics Performance. To learn how to invest in Carisma Stock, please use our How to Invest in Carisma Therapeutics guide.You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Carisma Therapeutics. If investors know Carisma will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Carisma Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.52) | Revenue Per Share 0.493 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) | Return On Assets (0.56) | Return On Equity (3.63) |
The market value of Carisma Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Carisma that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Carisma Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Carisma Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Carisma Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Carisma Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Carisma Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Carisma Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Carisma Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.