Capital Financial (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 489.6
| CASA Stock | IDR 510.00 15.00 2.86% |
Capital |
Capital Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 489.6
The tendency of Capital Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 489.60 in 90 days |
| 510.00 | 90 days | 489.60 | about 70.22 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capital Financial to stay above 489.60 in 90 days from now is about 70.22 (This Capital Financial Indonesia probability density function shows the probability of Capital Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capital Financial price to stay between 489.60 and its current price of 510.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Capital Financial Indonesia has a beta of -0.17 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Capital Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Capital Financial Indonesia is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Capital Financial Indonesia has an alpha of 0.0801, implying that it can generate a 0.0801 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Capital Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Capital Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Capital Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capital Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capital Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capital Financial Indonesia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capital Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 32.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Capital Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capital Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capital Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Capital Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capital Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capital Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capital Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.5 B |
Capital Financial Technical Analysis
Capital Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capital Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capital Financial Indonesia. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capital Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Capital Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Capital Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Capital Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capital Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Capital Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Capital Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capital Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Capital Stock
Capital Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Capital Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Capital with respect to the benefits of owning Capital Financial security.