CATCo Reinsurance (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 54.79
| CAT Stock | 37.50 0.00 0.00% |
CATCo |
CATCo Reinsurance Target Price Odds to finish over 54.79
The tendency of CATCo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 54.79 or more in 90 days |
| 37.50 | 90 days | 54.79 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CATCo Reinsurance to move over 54.79 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CATCo Reinsurance Opportunities probability density function shows the probability of CATCo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CATCo Reinsurance price to stay between its current price of 37.50 and 54.79 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CATCo Reinsurance has a beta of 0.72 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CATCo Reinsurance average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CATCo Reinsurance Opportunities will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CATCo Reinsurance Opportunities has an alpha of 0.7183, implying that it can generate a 0.72 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CATCo Reinsurance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CATCo Reinsurance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CATCo Reinsurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CATCo Reinsurance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CATCo Reinsurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CATCo Reinsurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CATCo Reinsurance Opportunities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CATCo Reinsurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.72 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
CATCo Reinsurance Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CATCo Reinsurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CATCo Reinsurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CATCo Reinsurance is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| CATCo Reinsurance appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| CATCo Reinsurance is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| CATCo Reinsurance generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CATCo fund partial redemption completes, running-off nears finality - Artemis.bm |
CATCo Reinsurance Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CATCo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CATCo Reinsurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CATCo Reinsurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 192.4 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.1 M |
CATCo Reinsurance Technical Analysis
CATCo Reinsurance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CATCo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CATCo Reinsurance Opportunities. In general, you should focus on analyzing CATCo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CATCo Reinsurance Predictive Forecast Models
CATCo Reinsurance's time-series forecasting models is one of many CATCo Reinsurance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CATCo Reinsurance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CATCo Reinsurance
Checking the ongoing alerts about CATCo Reinsurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CATCo Reinsurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CATCo Reinsurance is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| CATCo Reinsurance appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| CATCo Reinsurance is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| CATCo Reinsurance generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CATCo fund partial redemption completes, running-off nears finality - Artemis.bm |
Other Information on Investing in CATCo Stock
CATCo Reinsurance financial ratios help investors to determine whether CATCo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CATCo with respect to the benefits of owning CATCo Reinsurance security.